Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 15.434934 17.400367 19.537615 22.037098 24.883620 28.028556 31.772196
2025-03-09 12.327658 14.972603 18.086071 22.033546 26.922353 32.800309 40.436462
2025-03-16 10.200524 13.169193 16.899507 21.958159 28.681090 37.366793 49.532179
2025-03-23 8.998874 12.240001 16.547350 22.738958 31.490785 43.537579 61.580387
2025-03-30 7.868990 11.189900 15.820013 22.818668 33.255792 48.442731 72.577819
2025-04-06 6.827392 10.089361 14.830462 22.318640 34.024695 51.916714 81.896635
2025-04-13 6.028698 9.220744 14.036563 21.950274 34.862316 55.504413 91.819330
2025-04-20 5.590039 8.832470 13.900498 22.549582 37.252639 61.799179 107.076660
2025-04-27 5.239811 8.533111 13.853181 23.259742 39.880516 68.791171 124.580536
2025-05-04 4.865591 8.145723 13.607125 23.583930 41.854477 74.872278 141.338853
2025-05-11 4.410628 7.568862 12.971759 23.136130 42.362606 78.335688 153.606051
2025-05-18 4.028481 7.076031 12.424740 22.771668 42.956284 81.997736 166.783877
2025-05-25 3.687285 6.631119 11.933566 22.486185 43.730865 86.247804 182.194305
2025-06-01 3.419431 6.293638 11.604797 22.475911 45.058121 91.817155 201.483435
2025-06-08 3.171627 5.967865 11.262639 22.395947 46.230352 97.233097 221.417895
2025-06-15 3.049532 5.870287 11.347960 23.192153 49.357161 107.308567 254.085235
2025-06-22 2.861260 5.622229 11.107552 23.272963 50.927758 114.140197 280.157023
2025-06-29 2.633246 5.271038 10.620869 22.761969 51.090067 117.734267 298.696283
2025-07-06 2.441437 4.975421 10.218336 22.385621 51.504628 121.966917 319.665697
2025-07-13 2.353569 4.889678 10.251102 22.997675 54.354942 132.598076 360.140670
2025-07-20 2.280474 4.828201 10.329239 23.723010 57.582733 144.685436 407.225183
2025-07-27 2.181450 4.700221 10.246624 24.054137 59.861316 154.649544 450.174399
2025-08-03 2.033202 4.448591 9.859815 23.596734 60.031951 158.961113 476.814848